WTNT80 EGRR 060410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.11.2024

             HURRICANE RAFAEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N  79.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2024  19.4N  79.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.11.2024  21.1N  81.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2024  22.9N  83.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2024  24.0N  85.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2024  24.4N  86.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2024  24.1N  88.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2024  24.1N  90.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2024  24.0N  92.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2024  24.2N  93.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2024  24.1N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2024  23.2N  95.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2024  21.3N  95.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2024  19.9N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2024  19.0N  95.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 106.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932024

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2024  12.7N 106.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.11.2024  13.3N 105.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 33.5N  33.0E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.11.2024  33.5N  33.0E     WEAK
 00UTC 11.11.2024  35.5N  34.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2024  35.2N  34.0E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.11.2024  35.6N  34.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 10.0N 113.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.11.2024  10.0N 113.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.11.2024  10.2N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060410