FXUS65 KGGW 012027 AFDGGW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Glasgow MT 227 PM MDT Sun Sep 1 2024 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Temperatures trend upward Sunday through Tuesday. Then moderate out mid-week. - Dry conditions through Tuesday. Chance of showers and isolated storms Tuesday evening into Wednesday evening. Dry rest of the week. WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ridge over the western third of the CONUS will pass across the area bringing a warming trend and then exit late Tuesday. A smaller trough arrives from the Pacific Northwest Tuesday night through Wednesday night. However, pacific moisture with this passage appears to be lacking. Only leading to slight chance for isolated showers with the passage. At the same time, a ridge will rebuild into the Pacific Northwest behind it and begin having an affect on northeast Montana Friday, warming conditions again. This effect should last into Monday of next week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Only real deviation was running NBM90 on winds to see if Lake Wind Advisory criteria would be reached over the next couple days, and even with NBM90, winds will stay just below criteria. High confidence in above average temperatures tomorrow and Tuesday, low confidence in precipitation timing, placement and amounts. -Bernhart/GAH && .AVIATION... LAST UPDATED: 2100Z FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR DISCUSSION: Skies will be clear through the cycle. SFC WIND: SE 10-15kts, gusts to 20kts -Bernhart && .GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ weather.gov/glasgow