FXUS63 KEAX 081926
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
226 PM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances this morning for eastern KS and western MO.

- Potential for record low temperatures Friday and Saturday morning.

- Multiple chances for showers and storms next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 PM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

A cold front is pushing through the area this afternoon with
scattered light showers associated with it. These showers will come
to an end this evening as surface high pressure looks to build into
the area from the northern Plains. This surface ridge of high
pressure will remain in control through the day tomorrow through
Saturday. this will make for some very comfortable temperatures with
highs in the mid to upper 70s Friday and Saturday with lows in the
50s tonight and tomorrow night. Saturday night into Sunday, the
surface ridge will slide east of the area with the region under
northwest flow aloft. A shortwave riding on northwest flow late
Saturday night into Sunday will bring the next for showers and
perhaps a thunderstorms however, severe weather is not expected.
Temperatures will remain below normal on Sunday with showers and
cloud cover holding highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Another
shortwave is progged to move through the local area in northwest
flow Sunday night into Monday bringing another chance for showers.
Highs Monday are expected to remain in the mid 70s to near 80.

The pattern looks to remain active during the middle portion of next
week. By Tuesday, a upper level ridge over the eastern Rockies will
move over the local ridge with the area under the northern periphery
of the ridge. Upper level shortwave round this upper ridge will
bring the chance for a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday through Wednesday night. Thursday a upper level trough will
dig through the Upper Midwest flattening the ridge and bringing one
final chance of showers and thunderstorms. Despite the storm
chances, height rises through Midweek should provide a warming with
highs in the low to mid 80s on Tuesday rising into the mid 80s to
near 90 by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

A cold front is movg thru the terminals at the beginning of
the TAF cycle with a pd of MVFR cigs expected behind it thru 21Z-
22Z. Byd 22Z, TAFs will remain VFR with bkn clouds around 5kft
expected thru 00Z-02Z aft which just bkn high clouds are expected.
Winds thru the pd will generally be out of the N btn 5-10kts.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73