FXUS01 KWBC 022001 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 PM EDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 00Z Mon Jun 03 2024 - 00Z Wed Jun 05 2024 ...There is an Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Central High Plains on Sunday and a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday... ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Intermountain Region, Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley, Northern/Central Plains, and Southern Plains on Sunday and the Northern Intermountain Region along with Southern Plains and Middle/Lower Mississippi on Monday... ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley, Central/Southern Plains on Tuesday... ...There are Heat Advisories over western/southern Texas and Central California... A cold front over parts of the Northern/Central Plains will become quasi-stationary by Monday. The front will produce showers and severe thunderstorms over parts of Central Plains. Therefore, the SPC has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over the Central Plains through Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. In addition, there is a threat of severe thunderstorm wind gust, of 65 knots or greater over parts of the Central/Southern High Plains. Moreover, there will be an area of hail, two inches or greater, over parts of the Northern Plains and Central/Southern High Plains. Moreover, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and Northern/Central Plains, creating heavy rain. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and Northern/Central Plains through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Additionally, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Southern Plains, creating heavy rain. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern Plains through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. On Monday, the threat of severe thunderstorms moves east of the dryline as upper-level energy moves over the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley from Monday through Tuesday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. Moreover, the energy that produces the showers and thunderstorms will cause heavy rain over the Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains from Monday through Tuesday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. On Tuesday, the threat of severe thunderstorms will decrease slightly over the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and Central Plains. Therefore, there will be a Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms over the area. However, the threat of excessive rainfall will continue over the Upper/Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern Plains. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper/Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern Plains on Tuesday. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Meanwhile, onshore flow and a steady stream of upper-level energy over the Pacific Northwest will trigger rain and snow melt over parts of the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Intermountain Region from Sunday into Monday. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Pacific Northwest through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Additionally, the heavy rain and snow melt will develop over parts of the Northern Intermountain Region. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern Intermountain Region through Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Moreover, heavy rain and snow melt will develop over parts of the Northern Intermountain Region on Monday. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern Intermountain Region from Monday into Tuesday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Furthermore, a developing upper-level ridging will build over California and continue over southern/western Texas, aiding in spawning Heat Advisories over western/southern Texas and Central California. Ziegenfelder Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$