ACUS11 KWNS 020457
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020456
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-020700-

Mesoscale Discussion 1121
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Texas Panhandle...Northwest Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 370...

Valid 020456Z - 020700Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 370
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe threat is likely to continue for a few more hours
from the eastern Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma. Isolated
large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. The severe threat
is expected to gradually become more isolated with time.

DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Vance Air
Force Base shows a cluster of strong to severe storms from the
northeastern Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma. This feature
is located along the southwestern edge of a corridor of moderate
instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500
J/kg range. The WSR-88D VWP in northwest Oklahoma currently has
gradually veering winds in the lowest 2 km with flow generally at 30
knots. This is also evident on RAP forecast soundings which shows
0-6 km shear in the 25 to 30 knot range. This still could be enough
to continue a threat for severe wind gusts with the stronger cells
within the cluster. However, instability is weaker across much of
western and central Oklahoma. As this cluster moves southeastward,
the severe weather potential is expected to become more isolated
with time.

..Broyles.. 06/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   35340120 35660159 36000159 36290133 36420078 36609999
            36939920 37019869 36929827 36709796 36319792 35849817
            35449887 35250020 35340120