ACUS11 KWNS 012154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012154
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-012300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...much of eastern CO...western KS...and parts of
western NE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366...

Valid 012154Z - 012300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366
continues.

SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of severe storms should gradually mature
and move east with a risk for hail and damaging winds. Additional
storm development is possible farther east into parts of KS/NE.

DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, regional observations showed several
widely scattered clusters of strong to severe storms ongoing from
southern WY into eastern CO and far western KS. Hail and damaging
winds have occurred with these storms, and that threat will likely
continue this afternoon and into the evening given moderate buoyancy
and effective shear in place.

Additional storm development appears likely along the eastern
fringes of WW366 later this afternoon into the evening from parts of
northwest KS into southwestern NE. Deepening cumulus was noted along
a modifying baroclinic zone from near GLD to OGA. Hi-res guidance
and observation trends suggest a few more strong to severe storms
are likely within this zone. Given the moderate buoyancy and bulk
shear, organized storms capable of hail and damaging winds also
appear likely. A tornado or two will also be possible given some
enhanced low-level shear along the modified boundary.

..Lyons/Hart.. 06/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   37000239 37000321 37020367 37280374 39400379 41150400
            41910374 42350260 42420147 42210100 41660064 40920045
            39150027 38560049 37540126 37100190 37000239