ACUS11 KWNS 012000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012000
TXZ000-012130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1113
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...North-Central into Northeast TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 012000Z - 012130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm threat will spread
east-southeastward across northeast TX through late afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Some modest intensification has been noted with a
persistent storm cluster moving through the eastern Metroplex and
approaching northeast TX. This cluster may continue propagating
east-southeastward along a sharpening instability gradient,
potentially aided by the MCV moving across north TX.

Modest west-northwesterly midlevel flow will continue to provide
sufficient effective shear for storm organization, with a continued
threat for a supercell or two within the larger storm cluster.
Relatively weak midlevel lapse rates may temper the hail threat to
some extent, though at least isolated instances of severe hail will
remain possible through the afternoon. Some threat for isolated
damaging wind will also persist, especially if any further upscale
growth occurs this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible if an
increase in the magnitude and coverage of the severe threat becomes
apparent.

..Dean/Smith.. 06/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   32519682 32799612 32639455 32279431 31629457 31549538
            31669636 31869679 31989693 32359690 32519682