ACUS11 KWNS 011938
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011937
UTZ000-WYZ000-NVZ000-012100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1112
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0237 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...parts of northern Utah.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 011937Z - 012100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few stronger storms may develop with an increasing
threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s
with dewpoints in the 30s and 40s across northern Utah. This has
resulted instability around 250-500 J/kg MLCAPE with some additional
increase possible as heating continues. A well-defined  mid-level
shortwave trough (on 6.2u water vapor imagery) is moving out of
eastern Nevada which should provide sufficient lift for scattered
thunderstorm development this afternoon. These relatively quick
moving storms with an inverted-V thermodynamic profile will support
a threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon and early evening.
Once the boundary layer starts to cool this evening, expect the
severe wind threat to wane.

..Bentley/Smith.. 06/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...LKN...

LAT...LON   39531466 40391471 41241417 41871274 41831262 41431101
            40701063 39551205 39351362 39251457 39531466