ACUS11 KWNS 132210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132209
LAZ000-132315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0771
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0509 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

Areas affected...Central Gulf Coast Vicinity

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 132209Z - 132315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...New severe thunderstorm watch will likely be issued soon.
Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks.

DISCUSSION...MCS is propagating east across the lower Sabine River
Valley and the leading edge of this activity is surging across
Calcasieu into Jefferson Davis Parish. Damaging winds are likely
associated with this surging bow and the downstream air mass appears
more than buoyant enough to maintain this complex given the observed
shear. New ww will be issued soon.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/13/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON   30979241 30969065 29718998 29559244 30979241