FXUS63 KFGF 090937 AFDFGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 337 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Due to falling temperatures overnight, icy roads will bring hazardous travel to most areas. Especially true on untreated roads. - Lingering light snow today in the Red River valley into northwest Minnesota but additional accumulations less than 0.5 inch. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 322 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2024 Area radars and observations indicate light snow in all but the Devils Lake basin at 09z. Looking at AWOS obs via web and Winnipeg obs and webcams it would suggest a fine light snow to continue within the Red River valley into much of NW MN til mid morning. The snow itself is very fine and not really accumulating much more than what is already on the ground, but it is being blowing across the road and acting to polish the already very icy roadways. Snowfall from this system is in the 0.5 to 1.5 inch range based on reports so far. Winter weather advisory was cancelled as conditions such as the rapid freeze in NE ND that brought about the issuance has already occurred. all areas are below freezing. With continued very fine light snow in many areas of the RRV and NW MN did a high pop/low QPF scenario thru mid morning, then lowered pops thereafter into the aftn. Additional snow accumulations trace to 0.2 inch RRV and east. Kept patchy blowing snow in the grids within the RRV and parts of NW MN, mainly to highlight more low level snow moving across the road. Not enough snow occurred to caused reduced vsbys in blowing snow itself. Cloudy tonight with gradual diminshing wind and no precipitation is mentioned. Looking into the weekend, some possibility of partial clearing but lack of any strong high or very dry cold airmass moving in leaves doubts. Temps will warm a tad with highs mid 20s north to low-mid 30s south. There is a short wave trough passing thru Sat night but at this time no precipitation is mentioned. Next week shows a general west-northwest flow aloft with intermittent 500 mb short waves moving thru. One Tuesday and a stronger one Thu-Fri. GFS/Global Canadian along with Grand Ensemble in DESI indicate a bit more moisture than 00z ECWMF does with ensemble output from Grand Ensemble showing 90 pct chc of more than 1 inch of snow 12z Thu-12z Fri in east central ND into MN. This is considerably higher than NBM probs for more than 1 inch of snow which are in the 25-30 percent range. The good news is there is 0 pct chance for freezing rain of 0.01 inch or more. This system Thu-Fri is a fast moving west- northeast to east-southeast moving wave and sfc low coming off the Pacific ocean off British Columbia. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1134 PM CST Thu Feb 8 2024 IFR to MVFR conditions prevail at all TAF sites tonight. Occasional VFR ceilings are being reported at KGFK, but are not lasting long enough to allow a prevailing group. Blowing snow is expected to continue through the period with visibility generally expected to remain at or above 1 mile. Heading into Thursday morning, snow will taper off from west to east, with slow improvements in ceilings through the morning and into the midday hours. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Riddle AVIATION...Lynch