ACUS11 KWNS 262357
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262356
KYZ000-270130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0867
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Areas affected...parts of east central Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 262356Z - 270130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Ongoing supercell structure now to the northeast of the
Stanton vicinity seems likely to weaken by around 9 PM EDT.

DISCUSSION...A sustained supercell structure has been maintained
along a modest zone of differential surface heating to the north
through northeast of Stanton KY the past hour or so.  Deep-layer
shear along this boundary appears rather marginal, and low-level
hodographs, though exhibiting clockwise curvature, are rather small.
However, near-surface buoyancy and potential upward parcel
accelerations probably are being aided by a moist boundary-layer
with dew points near 70F.   Although this cell has probably produced
one or two weak tornadoes, it is not clear that this will continue
much longer, as the boundary-layer begins to stabilize with slow
radiational surface cooling.

..Kerr/Thompson.. 05/26/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...

LAT...LON   38258321 38148294 37888342 37918385 38258321

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH