ACUS11 KWNS 270322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270322
MOZ000-ARZ000-KSZ000-270515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0558
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 PM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

Areas affected...Southwest and South-central Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 153...

Valid 270322Z - 270515Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 153 continues.

SUMMARY...A tornado threat is expected to continue for several more
hours into the early overnight period across parts of southwest and
south-central Missouri.

DISCUSSION...On water vapor imagery, a vigorous shortwave trough is
evident over the northern Ozarks. Near this feature, scattered
strong to severe thunderstorms are ongoing. Ahead of and to the
south of the storms, moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP in
southwest Missouri. Over the top of the unstable airmass, mid-level
flow is westerly at 40 knots. This is creating shear favorable for
supercells. In addition, the RAP is showing a 30 to 40 knot
low-level jet located over west-central and southwest Missouri. The
WSR-88D VWP at Springfield, Missouri has a looped hodograph with 0-3
km storm-relative helicity near 650 m2/s2. This will continue
support a tornado threat with supercells. Large hail and wind damage
will also be likely with supercells.

..Broyles.. 04/27/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   36489223 36489396 36599435 36809457 37319462 37909412
            37989286 37899184 37599141 36869142 36619155 36489223

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN