ACUS11 KWNS 161154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161154
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-161330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0267
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Areas affected...Parts of South Carolina...southern/central
Georgia...and the Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 161154Z - 161330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...The risk of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will
continue spreading eastward across South Carolina, Georgia, and the
Florida Panhandle. A downstream watch will be issued shortly.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms is tracking eastward
toward the edge of WWs 63 and 64, with additional development ahead
of the line. The downstream environment remains favorable for severe
thunderstorms with a risk of damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. For
additional details on this risk, reference Mesoscale Discussion 266.
A new downstream watch will be issued shortly.

..Weinman/Hart.. 03/16/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   33098285 33868180 34558099 34758062 34848012 34657961
            34377945 33887972 33288040 31658203 30018375 29598488
            30038574 31798447 32438376 33098285

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH