FZUS51 KBUF 162005 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-170300- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west. Snow this evening, then a chance of snow showers after midnight. .TUESDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots. Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers overnight. .THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers. .SATURDAY...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night. The water temperature off Buffalo is 32 degrees. $$ LOZ030-170300- Lower Niagara River- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Snow this evening, then a chance of snow showers after midnight. .TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots overnight. Mostly cloudy. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow and rain showers overnight. .THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of rain showers. .SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night. $$ LEZ040-041-170300- Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales. Snow through the early overnight, then a chance of snow showers late. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times after midnight. Waves in ice free areas 9 to 13 feet building to 11 to 15 feet. Waves in ice free areas occasionally around 19 feet. .TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. .THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of rain showers. Waves 1 foot or less. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less. .SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$ LOZ042-170300- Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and increasing to 40 knot gales. Snow and rain early, then snow. Waves 7 to 10 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .TUESDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. Lake effect snow showers likely. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Snow showers likely in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow and rain showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. .THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .SATURDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. $$ LOZ043-044-170300- Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario including Irondequoit Bay- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .TONIGHT...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. Snow, rain and sleet this evening, then snow after midnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .TUESDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots in the afternoon. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then lake effect snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 13 to 18 feet subsiding to 12 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around 23 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Lake effect snow showers. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .WEDNESDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Snow showers in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. .THURSDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Thursday night. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. The water temperature off Rochester is 38 degrees. $$ LOZ045-170300- Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario- 405 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .TONIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 40 knot gales. Rain early, then sleet, snow and rain late this evening. Snow after midnight. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times late. Waves in ice free areas 4 to 7 feet building to 11 to 15 feet. Waves in ice free areas occasionally around 19 feet. .TUESDAY...Southwest gales to 40 knots becoming west and diminishing to 30 knots in the afternoon. Lake effect snow showers. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times in the morning. Waves 12 to 17 feet subsiding to 11 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .THURSDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest to 30 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$