FZUS51 KBUF 112003 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-120300- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers early, then rain showers late this evening. A chance of rain showers after midnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 30 knots in the afternoon. Rain and snow likely. .FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain in the evening. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east and diminishing to less than 10 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Snow and rain showers during the day, then rain showers with a chance of snow showers Sunday night. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow showers Monday night. The water temperature off Buffalo is 33 degrees. $$ LOZ030-120300- Lower Niagara River- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers early, then rain showers late this evening. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and diminishing to 10 knots or less overnight. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain in the evening. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast and diminishing to less than 10 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain and snow showers. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely during the day. $$ LEZ040-041-120300- Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then rain showers late this evening. A chance of rain showers after midnight. The lake is mostly ice covered. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 35 knot gales in the afternoon. Rain and snow likely in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. .FRIDAY NIGHT...West gales to 40 knots diminishing to 30 knots. A chance of rain in the evening. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming east and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Snow and rain showers likely during the day, then rain showers with a chance of snow showers Sunday night. .MONDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow showers Monday night. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. $$ LOZ042-120300- Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. A chance of rain showers early, then rain showers late this evening. A chance of rain showers after midnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 7 to 11 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .FRIDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 30 knots. Rain and snow. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain likely in the evening. Waves 7 to 10 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .SATURDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming northeast and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain and snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .MONDAY...Southwest gales to 35 knots becoming west. Rain showers with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow showers Monday night. Waves 6 to 9 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. $$ LOZ043-044-120300- Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario including Irondequoit Bay- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. Rain showers through the early overnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers late. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 11 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Snow and rain likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 40 knot gales overnight. Rain likely with a chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 35 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 13 to 17 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Snow showers likely during the day, then rain and snow showers likely Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .MONDAY...South gales to 35 knots becoming west. Rain showers with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow and rain showers Monday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 12 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. The water temperature off Rochester is 38 degrees. $$ LOZ045-120300- Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario- 403 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms early, then rain showers. A chance of rain and snow showers late. Waves in ice free areas 3 to 6 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves in ice free areas occasionally around 18 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 6 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Snow likely in the morning, then rain and snow in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 40 knot gales overnight. Rain with snow showers likely in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 11 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 35 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 12 to 16 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 40 knot gales. Snow and rain showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .MONDAY...South gales to 40 knots becoming west to 35 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Waves 6 to 9 feet building to 10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$